← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Spezia win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 204.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| venue | Stadio Dino Manuzzi |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 2.20 |
| -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.33 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1436.83 | 1426.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.08 | -18.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.81 |
| league points | 37.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.43 |
| solidity v1 | -0.69 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 0.97 |