← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Collu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Bari win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova −0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Bari −0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Padova | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 630.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| venue | Stadio Euganeo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.80 |
| -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1407.18 | 1383.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.23 | -17.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 29.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -0.54 | -1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 2.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |