← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Cesena win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Cesena +0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 197.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| venue | Stadio Dino Manuzzi |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 2.40 |
| -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.38 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1458.81 | 1639.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.93 | 6.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 1.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 37.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 3.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | 1.83 |
| solidity v1 | -0.21 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 25.39 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 2.56 |