← Serie B 2025-26 · Wed, Feb 11, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Doveri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.75 |
| Bari win | 33% | 2.82 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Bari +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 194.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -5.80 |
| -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1392.39 | 1445.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.56 | -22.46 |
| eye test v1 | -1.24 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -1.93 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 26.20 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.54 | 0.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.50 | 1.36 |