← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Turrini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Catanzaro win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 426.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.40 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1471.19 | 1503.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.68 | -0.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.92 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 27.77 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.37 |