← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, Jan 30, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Bari win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Palermo +0.75 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 22 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 182.00 | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -5.00 |
| 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1414.65 | 1552.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.85 | 5.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| league points | 20.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.02 |
| solidity v1 | -0.80 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 28.77 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 1.72 |