← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 52% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Reggiana −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 20' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 24' | 🟨 | Tobías Reinhart · Reggiana |
| 26' | ⚽ | — · Sampdoria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dennis Hadžikadunić · Sampdoria |
| 52' | 🟨 | Matteo Rover · Reggiana |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mathis Lambourde · Reggiana |
| 88' | ⚽ | Antonín Barák · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Ferrari · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 148.00 | 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1404.53 | 1416.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.06 | -19.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |