← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Livio Marinelli, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
| Sudtirol win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Juve Stabia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Simone Tronchin · Sudtirol |
| 68' | 🟨 | Rareș Cătălin Burnete · Juve Stabia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Raphael Kofler · Sudtirol |
| 86' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 148.00 | 391.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1475.31 | 1435.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.55 | -9.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |