← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ivano Pezzuto, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 39% | 2.25 |
| Empoli win | 33% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 55% | 1.70 |
| Empoli +0 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Empoli |
| 16' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 24' | ⚽ | Marco Nasti · Empoli |
| 52' | 🟨 | Giorgi Kvernadze · Frosinone Calcio |
| 55' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Frosinone Calcio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 148.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1503.00 | 1561.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.04 | 40.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 1.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 23.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |