← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Andrea Zanotti, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 52% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Pescara win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Pescara −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Spezia |
| 20' | 🟨 | Rachid Kouda · Spezia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Riccardo Capellini · Pescara |
| 45' | ⚽ | Matteo Dagasso · Pescara |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Pescara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Pescara |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 26.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1455.25 | 1320.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.59 | 7.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |