← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luca Massimi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Sudtirol win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Bernat Guiu · Virtus Entella |
| 29' | 🟨 | Frédéric Veseli · Sudtirol |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andrea Franzoni · Virtus Entella |
| 43' | ⚽ | Alessandro Debenedetti · Virtus Entella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jacopo Martini · Sudtirol |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marco Dalla Vecchia · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale |
| coach days | 173.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 3.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1301.68 | 1437.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.90 | -8.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -1.68 |
| solidity v1 | -0.80 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.19 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.77 |