← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Modena win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Modena +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | John Yeboah · Venezia FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Joel Schingtienne · Venezia FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Modena |
| 68' | 🟨 | Antoine Hainaut · Venezia FC |
| 74' | ⚽ | Antonio Casas · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 172.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| elo | 1507.55 | 1590.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.31 | 33.50 |
| eye test v1 | 1.60 | 1.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.80 | 20.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | 1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.34 | 2.56 |