← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Niccolo Turrini, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| Juve Stabia win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Marco Bellich · Juve Stabia |
| 32' | 🟨 | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
| 42' | ⚽ | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
| 56' | 🟨 | Emanuele Adamo · Cesena |
| 61' | 🟨 | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
| 61' | 🟥 | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rareș Cătălin Burnete · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 141.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1508.67 | 1472.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.23 | -9.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 30.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 0.99 |