← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Andrea Calzavara, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Avellino win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Avellino −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 26' | 🟨 | Filippo Missori · Avellino |
| 27' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 52' | ⚽ | Alphadjo Cissè · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Rispoli · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Besaggio · Avellino |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 165.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1503.62 | 1403.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.14 | -0.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 45.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.32 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 2.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.94 |