← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Simone Galipo, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 47% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| AC Monza win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| AC Monza −0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Leonardo Colombo · AC Monza |
| 14' | 🟨 | Paulo Azzi · AC Monza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Kike Pérez · Venezia FC |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kike Pérez · Venezia FC |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Petagna · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 165.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1579.27 | 1547.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.93 | 17.85 |
| eye test v1 | 1.51 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| league points | 26.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.85 | 1.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.94 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.27 | 1.76 |