← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Empoli win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Andrea Giorgini · Juve Stabia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Omar Correia · Juve Stabia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Andrea Fulignati · Empoli |
| 63' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Carissoni · Juve Stabia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Stiven Shpendi · Empoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alessio Cacciamani · Juve Stabia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Leone · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Giorgini · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 134.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1458.01 | 1508.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.16 | 4.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| league points | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.68 |