← Serie B 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 8, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Andrea Colombo, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Spezia win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Spezia +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Virtus Entella |
| 16' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Spezia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Bernat Guiu · Virtus Entella |
| 52' | 🟨 | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Virtus Entella |
| 58' | 🟥 | Luca Parodi · Virtus Entella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 88' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Spezia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gabriele Artistico · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Mezzoni · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale |
| coach days | 160.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1316.75 | 1470.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.06 | -25.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 9.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.67 |
| solidity v1 | -0.87 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.10 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.51 |