← Serie B 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 47% | 2.01 |
| Pescara win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Bari −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Antonio Di Nardo · Pescara |
| 31' | 🟥 | Giacomo Olzer · Pescara |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 56' | 🟨 | Antonio Di Nardo · Pescara |
| 59' | 🟨 | Gaetano Letizia · Pescara |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Bari |
| 67' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Bari |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gaetano Castrovilli · Bari |
| 73' | 🟨 | Matthias Braunöder · Bari |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sebastiano Desplanches · Pescara |
| 82' | ⚽ | Giulio Maggiore · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Bari |
| 90' | 🟥 | Andrea Meroni · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| coach days | 129.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 3.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1424.00 | 1309.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.34 | -19.76 |
| eye test v1 | -1.39 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.00 | 45.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 9.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -1.33 | -2.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.61 | -1.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.32 | 2.36 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 1.41 |