← Serie B 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| Juve Stabia win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Giorgi Kvernadze · Frosinone Calcio |
| 61' | ⚽ | Gabriele Calvani · Frosinone Calcio |
| 65' | ⚽ | Giorgi Kvernadze · Frosinone Calcio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Leone · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 129.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1539.16 | 1469.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.90 | -17.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| league points | 28.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 0.72 |