← Serie B 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Kevin Bonacina, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Avellino win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino +0.75 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Venezia FC +0.75 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | John Yeboah · Venezia FC |
| 41' | ⚽ | Filippo Missori · Avellino |
| 51' | ⚽ | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cancellotti · Avellino |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ridgeciano Haps · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 26 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Avellino | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi |
| coach days | 129.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.74 |
| elo | 1399.70 | 1582.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.88 | 25.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| league points | 19.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 64.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 13.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 19.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 1.43 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.65 |