← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Simone Sozza, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| Carrarese win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Luigi Cherubini · Sampdoria |
| 2' | ⚽ | Fabio Abiuso · Carrarese |
| 10' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · Sampdoria |
| 18' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 26' | ⚽ | Fabio Abiuso · Carrarese |
| 36' | ⚽ | Liam Henderson · Sampdoria |
| 38' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alex Ferrari · Sampdoria |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Luigi Ferraris |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leonardo Benedetti · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| coach days | 128.00 | 706.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1397.63 | 1443.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.97 | -39.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.55 |
| solidity v1 | 0.32 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 2.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.06 |