← Serie B 2025-26 · Thu, Dec 4, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Rosario Abisso, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 53% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Bari win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Bari −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Christian Pierobon · Juve Stabia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Gaetano Castrovilli · Bari |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alessio Cacciamani · Juve Stabia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Kevin Piscopo · Juve Stabia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Omar Correia · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 3 |
| 1 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 125.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1472.36 | 1420.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.83 | -0.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 45.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 4.19 | 5.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |