← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Daniele Chiffi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| Sampdoria win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Leonardo Benedetti · Sampdoria |
| 22' | 🟨 | Simone Pafundi · Sampdoria |
| 31' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Spezia |
| 51' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Spezia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Stipe Vulikić · Sampdoria |
| 83' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 121.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1464.07 | 1404.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.66 | -3.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 5.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.14 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.40 |