← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Juve Stabia win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Juve Stabia +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Giacomo Stabile · Juve Stabia |
| 19' | ⚽ | Samuele Birindelli · AC Monza |
| 26' | 🟨 | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
| 28' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · AC Monza |
| 31' | ⚽ | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Samuele Birindelli · AC Monza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Armando Izzo · AC Monza |
| 68' | ⚽ | Andrea Petagna · AC Monza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Juve Stabia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · AC Monza |
| 83' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 121.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1471.76 | 1552.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.76 | 55.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.85 |
| league points | 17.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 5.77 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 2.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 0.83 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.02 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.57 |