← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Paride Tremolada, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Virtus Entella win | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Franzoni · Virtus Entella |
| 28' | ⚽ | Tommaso Cassandro · Catanzaro |
| 33' | ⚽ | Davide Bariti · Virtus Entella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Simone Pontisso · Catanzaro |
| 57' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 79' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Virtus Entella |
| 82' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| 🟨 |
| Ahmad Benali · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Virtus Entella |
| coach days | 151.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1487.33 | 1321.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.89 | 14.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.86 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.55 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| solidity v1 | — | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 2.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.56 |