← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ivano Pezzuto, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 65% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| Mantova win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova −1.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Venezia FC −1.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Cristiano Bani · Mantova |
| 36' | ⚽ | Antoine Hainaut · Venezia FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolò Radaelli · Mantova |
| 47' | 🟨 | Nicolò Radaelli · Mantova |
| 47' | 🟥 | Nicolò Radaelli · Mantova |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
| 67' | 🟨 | Joel Schingtienne · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 27 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 151.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1574.92 | 1416.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.38 | 19.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 89.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 64.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.09 | 2.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 2.41 |