← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Livio Marinelli, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
| Pescara win | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Padova +0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Alessandro Capelli · Padova |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jonas Harder · Padova |
| 47' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Padova |
| 57' | ⚽ | Carlo Faedo · Padova |
| 61' | 🟨 | Carlo Faedo · Padova |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marco Perrotta · Padova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 120.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1318.97 | 1405.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.43 | -18.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -2.08 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.24 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.54 | 1.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 0.46 |