← Serie B 2025-26 · Mon, Nov 24, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Luca Zufferli, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Juve Stabia win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Juve Stabia +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Marco Ruggero · Juve Stabia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marco Ruggero · Juve Stabia |
| 56' | 🟥 | Marco Ruggero · Juve Stabia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Juve Stabia |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andrea Giorgini · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo De Pieri · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 115.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1393.47 | 1482.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.48 | -10.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 16.04 | 16.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.73 |
| solidity v1 | -1.03 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.24 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | — |