← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Mario Perri, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Bari win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 21' | ⚽ | Matthias Verreth · Bari |
| 27' | ⚽ | Gabriele Bracaglia · Frosinone Calcio |
| 34' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Bari |
| 42' | ⚽ | Farès Ghedjemis · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Gaetano Castrovilli · Bari |
| 47' | 🟨 | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Gabriele Bracaglia · Frosinone Calcio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ilario Monterisi · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 10 | Shots | 28 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1442.66 | 1520.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.80 | 7.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 14.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.07 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.64 |