← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Mattia Maresca, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 49% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Padova win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova +0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC +0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mattia Compagnon · Venezia FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Kike Pérez · Venezia FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alessandro Seghetti · Padova |
| 56' | 🟨 | Pietro Fusi · Padova |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | John Yeboah · Venezia FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Padova |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Perrotta · Padova |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Padova | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Euganeo |
| coach days | 539.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1417.20 | 1563.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.72 | -4.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 65.80 |
| rest days | 14.09 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 11.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 19.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 1.12 |
| solidity v1 | — | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.13 |