← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Virtus Entella win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Virtus Entella +0 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Andrea Tiritiello · Virtus Entella |
| 47' | 🟨 | Mattia Bani · Palermo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marco Dalla Vecchia · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale |
| coach days | 144.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1317.54 | 1503.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.04 | -35.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 44.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.75 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 0.66 |