← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Francesco Fourneau, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Empoli win | 31% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.25 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Avellino −0.25 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Salvatore Elia · Empoli |
| 22' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Empoli |
| 30' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cancellotti · Avellino |
| 35' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Empoli |
| 41' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Avellino |
| 45' | ⚽ | Edoardo Saporiti · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edoardo Saporiti · Empoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pietro Pellegri · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Avellino | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1401.96 | 1498.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.30 | -18.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.74 |
| solidity v1 | -0.76 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 0.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.06 |