← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 21, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Luca Massimi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 61% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Pescara win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara −1 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Catanzaro −1 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Antonio Di Nardo · Pescara |
| 20' | 🟨 | Matteo Dagasso · Pescara |
| 21' | ⚽ | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tommaso Corazza · Pescara |
| 46' | ⚽ | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gabriele Corbo · Pescara |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 74' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Pescara |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ruggero Frosinini · Catanzaro |
| 82' | ⚽ | Nicolò Buso · Catanzaro |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nicolò Buso · Catanzaro |
| 87' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tommaso Corazza · Pescara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 143.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1493.32 | 1312.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.29 | -12.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.30 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 12.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.09 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |