← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Luca Pairetto, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 63% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| Pescara win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +1 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Pescara +1 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.78 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Gabriele Corbo · Pescara |
| 16' | 🟨 | Keita Baldé · AC Monza |
| 27' | ⚽ | Keita Baldé · AC Monza |
| 47' | ⚽ | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 100.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1327.75 | 1570.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.74 | 54.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 8.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.17 |
| state index | -1.16 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 1.59 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.23 |