← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Sampdoria win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Venezia FC −1 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · Sampdoria |
| 24' | ⚽ | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 34' | ⚽ | Antoine Hainaut · Venezia FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Sampdoria |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ridgeciano Haps · Venezia FC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Liam Henderson · Sampdoria |
| 76' | 🟨 | Simone Giordano · Sampdoria |
| 77' | ⚽ | Daniel Fila · Venezia FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jordan Ferri · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 130.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1556.88 | 1400.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.71 | -14.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 2.26 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.29 |