← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Niccolo Turrini, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Carrarese win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟥 | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
| 14' | 🟨 | Emanuele Zuelli · Carrarese |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nikola Sekulov · Carrarese |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 52' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 24 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 10 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 342.00 | 677.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1446.19 | 1458.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.03 | 0.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 32.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.45 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.08 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |