← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Frosinone Calcio |
| 50' | ⚽ | Giacomo Calò · Frosinone Calcio |
| 56' | ⚽ | Francesco Zampano · Modena |
| 63' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | 🟨 | Leandro Chichizola · Modena |
| 89' | ⚽ | Yanis Massolin · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Massimo Zilli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriele Bracaglia · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 99.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1522.54 | 1512.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.21 | 20.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| league points | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.82 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | — |