← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Catanzaro win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Catanzaro +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Kike Pérez · Venezia FC |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 59' | ⚽ | John Yeboah · Venezia FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Patrick Amiamo Nuamah · Catanzaro |
| 60' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gabriele Alesi · Catanzaro |
| 86' | 🟨 | Antoine Hainaut · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 124.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1491.48 | 1567.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.34 | 13.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| league points | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 1.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |