← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Andrea Zanotti, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Pescara win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −1.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Pescara −1.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Julian Brandes · Pescara |
| 47' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Bartosz Bereszyński · Palermo |
| 72' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Matteo Dagasso · Pescara |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aljoša Vasić · Palermo |
| 83' | ⚽ | Salim Diakité · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 123.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1505.13 | 1329.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.61 | -4.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 3.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.48 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |