← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
| Empoli win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Empoli −0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Andrea Tiritiello · Virtus Entella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Luca Belardinelli · Empoli |
| 85' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Empoli |
| 86' | ⚽ | Andrea Tiritiello · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Di Mario · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale |
| coach days | 123.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1298.62 | 1504.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.74 | -5.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.86 | 3.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |