← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Livio Marinelli, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 36% | 2.55 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Frosinone Calcio |
| 14' | 🟨 | Alessandro Arena · Carrarese |
| 29' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 36' | 🟨 | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
| 39' | 🟨 | Emanuele Zuelli · Carrarese |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Giacomo Calò · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mattia Finotto · Carrarese |
| 67' | 🟨 | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 67' | 🟥 | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| Farès Ghedjemis · Frosinone Calcio |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 670.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1474.68 | 1506.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.04 | -7.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |