← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Luca Massimi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
| Reggiana win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (og) | Lorenco Šimić · Reggiana |
| 25' | 🟨 | Tommaso Biasci · Avellino |
| 25' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Reggiana |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Roberto Insigne · Avellino |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Avellino |
| 50' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Avellino |
| 55' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Reggiana |
| 57' | 🟨 | Alessandro Milani · Avellino |
| 62' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Reggiana |
| 64' | ⚽ | Lorenco Šimić · Avellino |
| 67' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Avellino | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi |
| 70' | ⚽ | Martin Palumbo · Avellino |
| 86' | 🟨 | Filippo Missori · Avellino |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| coach days | 92.00 | 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1403.17 | 1451.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.66 | 25.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |