← Serie B 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Andrea Calzavara, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Avellino win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Avellino +0 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Riccardo Capellini · Pescara |
| 17' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Pescara |
| 19' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Sounas · Avellino |
| 29' | ⚽ | Lorenco Šimić · Avellino |
| 41' | 🟨 | Filippo Missori · Avellino |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Avellino |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 20 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 88.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1335.38 | 1413.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.42 | -25.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.27 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 26.99 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |