← Serie B 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Simone Galipo, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Virtus Entella win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 58' | ⚽ | Gabriele Bracaglia · Frosinone Calcio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Matteo Cichella · Frosinone Calcio |
| 77' | ⚽ | Massimo Zilli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 80' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 88.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1499.25 | 1305.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.88 | 6.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.63 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.27 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.23 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.50 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | — |