← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Juve Stabia win | 33% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Juve Stabia +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Kevin Piscopo · Juve Stabia |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Bortolussi · Padova |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Padova |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alessio Cacciamani · Juve Stabia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Rareș Cătălin Burnete · Juve Stabia |
| 68' | ⚽ | Giacomo De Pieri · Juve Stabia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mattia Bortolussi · Padova |
| 83' | 🟨 | Carlo Faedo · Padova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Padova | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Euganeo |
| coach days | 512.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1424.08 | 1487.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.89 | 22.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.85 | 7.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |