← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Mario Perri, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 39% | 2.59 |
| Carrarese win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese +0.25 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 46% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ridgeciano Haps · Venezia FC |
| 25' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 31' | 🟨 | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fabio Abiuso · Carrarese |
| 34' | 🟨 | Marco Imperiale · Carrarese |
| 41' | ⚽ | Emanuele Zuelli · Carrarese |
| 52' | 🟨 | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 63' | ⚽ | Issa Doumbia · Venezia FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kike Pérez · Venezia FC |
| 74' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 25 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| 84' | ⚽ | Tommaso Rubino · Carrarese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filippo Di Stefano · Carrarese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Filippo Di Stefano · Carrarese |
| coach days | 663.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1471.61 | 1568.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.04 | 11.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.82 |
| league points | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 65.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 1.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |