← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Niccolo Turrini, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 41% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.21 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 29% | 3.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.75 |
| Over | 44% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Massimo Zilli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jacopo Gelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 69' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Edoardo Vergani · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Luigi Ferraris |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1407.66 | 1500.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.39 | 1.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| league points | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.45 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |