← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Ivano Pezzuto, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Empoli win | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Empoli +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Andrea Adorante · Venezia FC |
| 42' | ⚽ | Stiven Shpendi · Empoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Rares Ilie · Empoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Pietro Pellegri · Empoli |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nosa Edward Obaretin · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bartol Franjić · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 79.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1517.65 | 1568.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.26 | 6.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| league points | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 14.09 | 15.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |