← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Avellino win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino −0.5 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marco Bellich · Juve Stabia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Omar Correia · Juve Stabia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andrea Cagnano · Avellino |
| 90' | 🟥 | Roberto Insigne · Avellino |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 78.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1476.53 | 1433.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.36 | 30.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 13.09 | 14.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |