← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Reggiana win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reggiana +0 | 49% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.75 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Reggiana |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Bari |
| 39' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Reggiana |
| 41' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Bari |
| 45' | ⚽ | Elayis Tavsan · Reggiana |
| 59' | 🟥 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Bari |
| 70' | ⚽ | Andrea Bozzolan · Reggiana |
| 80' | 🟨 | Charlys · Reggiana |
| 81' | ⚽ | Mathis Lambourde · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 231.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1445.66 | 1440.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.28 | -20.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 13.81 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.76 | 26.11 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |